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Find out what’s happening at Probe and what we are learning.
Golden Boy on Manitoba Legislature

NDP Lead Inches Slightly Higher (December 2022 Omnibus)

With a provincial election coming in the new year, the New Democrats continue to hold a strong lead province-wide over the governing Progressive Conservatives.

a Winnipeg Transit bus at a rapid transit station

Winnipeggers' Preferences for Active and Public Transportation Spending

A Probe Research survey for the Winnipeg Free Press and CTV Winnipeg finds Winnipeg voters want their municipal government to put more resources into public transit and active transportation routes.

(Photo credit: CTV Winnipeg)

A homeless encampment in downtown Winnipeg

Winnipeggers' Preferences for Addressing Poverty and Homelessness

A Probe Research survey for the Winnipeg Free Press and CTV Winnipeg finds significant majorities of Winnipeg adults support measures that could help address homelessness in Winnipeg.

(Photo credit: CTV Winnipeg)

protest in front of Manitoba legislature

Winnipeggers' Views on Protests in Public Spaces

A Probe Research survey for the Winnipeg Free Press and CTV Winnipeg shows only a very small number of Winnipeggers think protesters should be allowed to occupy public places indefinitely.

Golden Boy on Manitoba Legislature

Little Movement in Manitoba's Political Scene (September 2022 Provincial Voting Intentions)

One year ahead of the next provincial election, voter support for Manitoba's main provincial parties remains very stable, a new Probe Research poll for the Winnipeg Free Press and CTV Winnipeg finds.

Winnipeg City Hall

State of the Race: September 2022 Winnipeg Mayoral Candidate Voting Intentions

The latest Probe Research survey conducted for the Winnipeg Free Press and CTV Winnipeg shows that former mayor Glen Murray holds a strong lead over the rest of the field - but many Winnipeggers have yet to decide which candidate they will cast a ballot for on October 26.

Winnipeg skyline

State of the Race: July 2022 Winnipeg Mayoral Candidate Voting Intentions

A new Probe Research survey finds Winnipeggers are leaning towards a familiar name, as former mayor Glen Murray leads the pack of potential mayoral candidates in the race to be Winnipeg's next head of city council.

Golden Boy

NDP Maintains Lead Over PCs In Manitoba (June 2022 Provincial Voting Intentions)

The latest Probe Research survey for the Winnipeg Free Press finds Manitoba's New Democrats are maintaining a sizable lead over the governing Progressive Conservatives, with little change during the past three months.

COVID-19 virus

Manitobans' Views on COVID-19 - March 2022

Our latest summary of insights regarding COVID-19 in Manitoba for the Winnipeg Free Press.

Golden Boy

Gap Between NDP, PCs Widens (March 2022 Provincial Voting Intentions)

A new Probe Research survey for the Winnipeg Free Press finds the NDP's lead over the Progressive Conservatives has widened to 10 points province-wide.

person refusing COVID-19 vaccine

Manitobans Views On An "Unvaxxed Tax" And Other COVID-19 Issues

A new Probe Research poll finds Manitobans are divided on whether to charge extra taxes to those who refuse to get the COVID-19 vaccine - and they are not satisfied with the performance of their new premier, Heather Stefanson.

snow plows on a winnipeg city street

Views on Snow Clearing in Winnipeg

A new Probe Research survey for the Winnipeg Free Press finds one-half of Winnipeggers approve of the City's current approach to clearing snow from streets and sidewalks - but a significant minority want more effort to be made clearing sidewalks for pedestrians

Golden Boy

No Bounce for New PC Leader and Premier

A new Probe Research survey conducted for the Winnipeg Free Press finds support for Manitoba's Progressive Conservatives remains flat even after the party chose Heather Stefanson as its new leader and Manitoba's new premier.

Person receiving COVID-19 vaccine

Manitobans' Views on COVID-19 Vaccines and Testing

A summary of insights from a recent Probe Research survey of Manitobans regarding COVID-19 restrictions, testing and vaccinations - including key differences between southern Manitoba and the rest of the province.

Kelvin Goertzen Brent Roussin

Views on Provincial Government Performance During COVID-19 - October 2021

With a new premier about to be chosen, a new Probe Research survey finds a majority of of Manitobans approve of how caretaker premier Kelvin Goertzen and new health minister Audrey Gordon have handled the COVID-19 pandemic.

COVID vaccine

Views on COVID-19 Vaccine Mandates in Manitoba Schools

A new Probe Research survey for the Winnipeg Free Press finds strong support province-wide for requiring students attending in-person classes to be vaccinated against COVID-19.

Golden Boy

Progressive Conservative Support Rebounds in Manitoba

A new Probe Research survey for the Winnipeg Free Press finds some Manitoba voters have warmed back up to the governing Progressive Conservatives as that party selects a new leader and premier.

Black Lives Matter protest in Winnipeg

Views on Race Relations in Winnipeg

A new Probe Research survey for the Winnipeg Free Press finds Winnipeggers have not seen much in the way of improvements in race relations during the past year - and little progress made by the Winnipeg Police Service on this front.

(Photo credit: Mikaela MacKenzie, Winnipeg Free Press)

Centre Block Parliament Hill

Federal Party Support in Manitoba - June 2021

A new Probe Research poll for the Winnipeg Free Press shows support for the federal NDP increasing in Manitoba ahead of a potential summer/fall election.

Golden Boy

NDP Lead Widens Further in Manitoba

A new Probe Research survey for the Winnipeg Free Press finds the gap between the surging New Democrats and governing Progressive Conservative party has widened even further.

Bishop Vital-Justin Grandin

Views on Renaming Bishop Grandin Boulevard

As Canadians come to further grips with the legacy of residential schools, a new Probe Research survey finds a majority of Winnipeggers support changing the name of Bishop Grandin Boulevard so that it no longer honours one of the architects of this policy.

Downtown Winnipeg

Winnipeggers Favour Action to Help the Downtown

Winnipeggers are worried about the fate of the downtown post-pandemic and feel governments should help fund the recovery. But, nearly one-half of residents never actually visit the downtown.

Parliament Hill Centre Block

Federal Politics Scene Remains Stable in Manitoba

Our March 2021 results on federal voting intentions in Manitoba show Conservative support holding steady, while the Liberals continue to lead in Winnipeg.

Golden Boy

NDP Extends Lead As Pallister Plumbs Lower Levels of Popularity

woman in mask looking out the window

Manitobans and COVID-19: Hurting on the Home Front

A new Probe Research survey conducted for the Winnipeg Free Press shows COVID-19 pandemic is taking a significant toll on Manitobans' well-being.

Winnipeg downtown skyline

Winnipeg Economic Perspectives - December 2020

A new Probe Research survey conducted on behalf of Economic Development Winnipeg (EDW) finds that economic pessimism increased as the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic struck the province.

Parliament Hill

Federal Conservative Lead Narrows Slightly in Manitoba

The latest Probe Research numbers on federal politics show the Conservatives maintaining their lead in Manitoba, with support for the NDP increasingly slightly in the province.

Golden Boy

NDP Takes Lead for First Time Since 2016

Progressive Conservative party support has plunged in the wake of rising COVID-19 case counts and criticism of the provincial government's response

Woman in Care Home

Views On Long-Term Care In Manitoba During COVID-19

A new Probe Research survey finds nearly one-half of Manitobans want the provincial government to take over privately-operated long-term care facilities - and increasing numbers say improving conditions in these homes is an urgent priority. 

Manitoba Premier Brian Pallister

Views on the Manitoba Government's Performance During COVID-19

As the number of COVID-19 cases surge in Manitoba, residents are giving their provincial government significantly lower marks for its ability to handle the public health and economic consequences of the pandemic, a new Probe Research poll finds.

Manitoba pandemic logo

Manitobans' Views on the COVID-19 Lockdown

A new Probe Research survey finds Manitobans favour moving the entire province to Code Red and feel provincial restrictions to stop the spread of COVID-19 need to go further.

Black Lives Matter protest outside Manitoba Legislature

Attitudes Regarding Racism in Manitoba

A new Probe Research survey conducted for the Winnipeg Free Press explores attitudes regarding racism among Manitobans.

Brian Pallister

Provincial PCs See Uptick in Support

One year after Manitobans re-elected a Progressive Conservative government, a new Probe Research survey conducted for the Winnipeg Free Press shows the PCs continue to hold the largest share of voter support. Indeed, support for Brian Pallister’s party is down by only three percentage points on the anniversary of its re-election.

Parliament Hill Centre Block

Conservative Support Rises in Manitoba

The federal Conservatives, under new leader Erin O'Toole, have re-taken top spot among Manitoba voters, according to a new Probe Research poll for the Winnipeg Free Press.

poster showing travel restrictions

Manitobans Support Stronger Self-Isolation Rules For All Out-Of-Province Visitors

A new Probe Research survey finds Manitobans lean towards wanting all visitors from out-of-province - even those from nearby places with relatively few cases of COVID-19 - to self-isolate for 14 days if they decide to pay a visit to the province.

black reusable face mask

More Than Eight-In-Ten Manitobans Favour Mandatory Masks Indoors

A new survey conducted by Probe Research in collaboration with EPI Research Inc. finds that more than eight-in-ten Manitobans support implementing a public health order making it mandatory to wear masks in indoor public spaces.

Parliament Hill Centre Block

Federal Liberals Return to Top Spot in Manitoba

A new Probe Research survey conducted for the Winnipeg Free Press finds that the federal Liberals have rebounded and have become the most popular party in the province again.

Manitoba's Golden Boy Statue

PCs, NDP In Statistical Dead Heat

A new Probe Research survey conducted for the Winnipeg Free Press finds that the governing Progressive Conservatives and New Democrats are statistically tied, with Manitobans more likely to approve of how the PCs have protected public health than their measures to deal with the economic fallout of COVID-19.

protesters participating in a round dance at Winnipeg's Portage and Main intersection

Manitobans' Attitudes on Indigenous Land Protests

Although the blockades of major transportation links, including roads and rail lines, feels like an ancient memory in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, a Probe Research survey conducted in March for the Winnipeg Free Press finds Manitobans hold sharply polarized views on this complex issue.

handful of money

Manitobans Support Universal Basic Income, Higher Taxes For High-Income Earners and Larger Companies

A new Probe Research survey finds that Manitobans want governments to pay for COVID-19 related spending by increasing the amount of tax wealthier individuals and larger companies pay - with six-in-ten also favouring the introduction of a universal basic income (UBI) for all citizens.

 

close-up of COVID-19 virus

Manitobans' Views on COVID-19 - Impressions and Expectations for the Future

A new Probe Research survey finds Manitobans expect their lives to change profoundly in the long-term as a result of COVID-19.

Golden Boy

Provincial Party Support Remains Steady

A Probe Research survey conducted in March 2020 - just as the COVID-19 pandemic began to unfold - shows that provincial voter intentions remain stable.

close up of coronavirus cells

Manitobans' Views on COVID-19

One-in-three Manitobans feel the COVID-19 crisis currently causing health, social and economic upheaval in the province and around the globe is overblown, according to a new Probe Research survey.

Brandon, MB

Drugs Top the List of Issues for Westman Residents

Western Manitobans – particularly Brandon residents – are much more likely to be concerned today about the effect of drugs such as methamphetamines and opioids on their community.

Crime

Crime at the Forefront of Manitobans’ Minds

Manitobans – and particularly Winnipeggers – are concerned about crime in an unprecedented way.

Manitoba Legislature

Support for Manitoba's PC Party Diminishes Slightly

A recent Probe Research survey conducted for the Winnipeg Free Press indicates the post-election honeymoon appears to be waning for Manitoba’s Progressive Conservative government.

Downtown Winnipeg

Winnipeg Economic Perspectives

An impressive majority of Winnipeg adults are optimistic about the economic future of their city although most anticipate the financial status quo for their households in the coming year. These results emerged from a new “Economic Perspectives” research program sponsored by Economic Development Winnipeg.

Parliament

Federal Vote: Liberals and Tories tied in Winnipeg

As the 2019 federal election campaign reaches the half-way mark, Andrew Scheer’s Conservative Party enjoys strong support from Manitoba voters and are especially dominant among the province’s male, rural, high-income and older residents. 

health care workers

Manitobans On The Major Election Issues

A complete breakdown of how Manitobans feel about the issues leading up to the Sept. 10 provincial election.

lightbulb car blackjack and liquor

Manitobans' Views on Privatization

We asked 1,200 Manitobans to weigh in on whether the private sector should be involved in providing energy, auto insurance, gaming and retail liquor sales in the province.

Manitoba provincial party leaders

Manitobans' Views on Party Leaders

The latest Probe Research survey for the Winnipeg Free Press and CTV Winnipeg breaks down how Manitobans feel about the four provincial party leaders.

Manitoba Golden Boy

PCs Maintain Province-Wide Lead, Although Race Remains Deadlocked in Winnipeg

Heading into the final days of the 2019 Manitoba election campaign, a new Probe Research survey conducted for the Winnipeg Free Press and CTV Winnipeg shows the governing Progressive Conservatives maintain a sizable lead over the NDP - although the two parties are neck-and-neck in vote-rich Winnipeg.

Manitobans Split on Whether Pallister Should Respect Fixed Election Date

Manitobans' Views On An Early Provincial Election Call

Winnipeg - Although one-half of Manitobans say Premier Brian Pallister ought to have respected Manitoba's fixed-date election legislation, the Premier's decision to call a vote for Sept. 10 is not likely to drive significant voters away from his Progressive Conservative party.

Party Support in Manitoba - June 2019

Progressive Conservatives Hold Firm Lead As Manitoba Election Approaches

Winnipeg - On the eve of an early election campaign in Manitoba, Brian Pallister's governing Progressive Conservatives are holding onto a firm lead in public support over their NDP and Liberal competitors.

Federal Party Support in Manitoba

Green Surge Erodes Liberal Support In Manitoba

Winnipeg - A sudden surge by Elizabeth May and the federal Green Party has eroded popular support for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the governing Liberal Party in Manitoba, a new Probe Research survey for the Winnipeg Free Press shows.

Optimism about Manitoba’s Economic Future

Business Leaders Are Less Optimistic About Manitoba's Economy

Probe Research's Manitoba Business Leaders Index is a survey of 203 Manitoba-based CEOs and business owners. The 2019 survey shows that business leaders are less optimistic about the state of the provincial economy - although an increasing proportion credit the Manitoba government for its efforts to create a business-friendly climate in the province.

Favourite Jets

Dustin Byfuglien is Manitoba's Favourite Jet

Winnipeg – He’s been a stalwart on the blueline and a commanding physical presence on the ice since the Winnipeg Jets returned to Manitoba eight years ago.

March 2019 Omnibus trendline

PC Lead In Manitoba Dips Slightly

A new Probe Research survey shows support for Manitoba's governing PCs decreased slightly in March, with the opposition NDP now leading in voter support in Winnipeg.

PST Reduction Comparison

Manitoba Citizens, Business Leaders Support Decreasing PST

New Probe Research surveys of Manitoba citizens and business leaders show that both groups believe Manitoba's Progressive Conservative made the right decision when it reduced the PST in its 2019 budget.

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